GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia NPL · 7/18/2026, 5:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

West Adelaide · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

West Adelaide are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Sturt Lions are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 44.9 against 46.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.4% in the South Australia NPL, while West Adelaide holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

West Adelaide

Probability

40.4%

Model confidence

40.4%

West Adelaide has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

West AdelaideLDDLW

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sturt LionsWLWLL

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
West AdelaideSturt Lions
60.6Attack53.0
33.3Defence45.5
37.9Form40.9
44.9Power46.5
2.17xG2.00
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