GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 8/8/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Werder Bremen are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while SC Paderborn 07 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and sC Paderborn 07 hold a 35.4-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 59.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Friendlies Clubs, favouring a draw with 10.0% confidence, a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

24.1%

Model confidence

10.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Werder BremenLLLDW

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
SC Paderborn 07WDWDL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Werder BremenSC Paderborn 07
66.7Attack55.6
0.0Defence55.6
0.0Form55.6
23.7Power59.1
1.64xG1.93
View match centre →