Werder Bremenvs
Fagiano Okayama
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 7/22/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Werder Bremen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Werder Bremen are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Fagiano Okayama are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Werder Bremen hold a 26.0-point power-rating edge (54.4 v 28.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Werder Bremen holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Werder Bremen
Probability
77.8%
Model confidence
8.9%
Werder Bremen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40