GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 8/15/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Werder Bremen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Lowconfidence

Werder Bremen are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Auxerre are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Auxerre hold an 11.9-point power-rating edge (54.4 v 66.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Werder Bremen holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Werder Bremen

Probability

47.2%

Model confidence

7.4%

Werder Bremen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Werder BremenDWWWW

GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AuxerreDDLWW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Werder BremenAuxerre
93.3Attack58.3
36.7Defence66.7
46.7Form66.7
54.4Power66.3
2.52xG2.05
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