Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ilzer SV · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Weiz are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Ilzer SV are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Ilzer SV hold a 44.1-point power-rating edge (47.6 v 91.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Ilzer SV holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ilzer SV
Probability
56.1%
Model confidence
7.6%
Ilzer SV has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60
GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00