Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ammerthal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Weiden are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Ammerthal are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Ammerthal hold a 33.0-point power-rating edge (25.7 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.0% in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord, while Ammerthal holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ammerthal
Probability
49.0%
Model confidence
13.0%
Ammerthal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
GF 4 · GA 17 · avg 0.80/3.40