Watfordvs
Fiorentina
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 7/29/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fiorentina · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Watford are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Fiorentina are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Fiorentina hold a 23.2-point power-rating edge (44.3 v 67.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Fiorentina holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fiorentina
Probability
48.0%
Model confidence
48.0%
Fiorentina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00