GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/29/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fiorentina · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Watford are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Fiorentina are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Fiorentina hold a 23.2-point power-rating edge (44.3 v 67.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Fiorentina holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fiorentina

Probability

48.0%

Model confidence

48.0%

Fiorentina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WatfordWDLLL

GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
FiorentinaLWWDW

GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
WatfordFiorentina
42.9Attack94.4
42.9Defence55.6
38.1Form61.1
44.3Power67.5
1.36xG2.48
View match centre →