Watfordvs
Crawley Town
COMPLETEDEngland · League Cup · 8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Watford · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Watford are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Crawley Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Crawley Town hold a 10.8-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.8% in the League Cup, while Watford holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Watford
Probability
34.8%
Model confidence
34.8%
Watford has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80