Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Waterford · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Waterford are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Kerry are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Waterford hold an 8.1-point power-rating edge (44.4 v 36.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Waterford holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Waterford
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
36.4%
Waterford has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80