Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bohemians · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Waterford are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Bohemians are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bohemians hold a 31.3-point power-rating edge (44.4 v 75.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Bohemians holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bohemians
Probability
51.9%
Model confidence
51.9%
Bohemians has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20