Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bohemians · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Waterford are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Bohemians are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Bohemians hold a 15.0-point power-rating edge (42.0 v 57.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.7% in the Premier Division, while Bohemians holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bohemians
Probability
49.7%
Model confidence
49.7%
Bohemians has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40