Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bohemians · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Waterford are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Bohemians are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Bohemians hold a 15.0-point power-rating edge (42.0 v 57.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.7% in the Premier Division, while Bohemians holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bohemians
Probability
49.7%
Model confidence
49.7%
Bohemians has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60