Waterfordvs
Athlone Town
COMPLETEDIreland · FAI Cup · 8/14/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Waterford · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Waterford are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Athlone Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Athlone Town hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 97.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.2% in the FAI Cup, while Waterford holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Waterford
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
10.2%
Waterford has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20