GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 8/2/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Washington Spirit W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Washington Spirit W are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while San Diego Wave W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Washington Spirit W hold a 7.0-point power-rating edge (62.9 v 55.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.5% in the NWSL Women, while Washington Spirit W holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Washington Spirit W

Probability

37.5%

Model confidence

37.5%

Washington Spirit W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Washington Spirit WWWWLW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
San Diego Wave WLDLWW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Washington Spirit WSan Diego Wave W
50.9Attack41.7
70.2Defence65.0
63.2Form55.0
62.9Power55.9
1.17xG0.67
View match centre →