Washington Spirit Wvs
Portland Thorns W
COMPLETEDUSA · NWSL Women · 3/14/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Washington Spirit W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Washington Spirit W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Portland Thorns W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Washington Spirit W hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (62.9 v 54.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.5% in the NWSL Women, while Washington Spirit W holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Washington Spirit W
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Washington Spirit W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60