GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 7/26/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Washington Spirit W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Washington Spirit W are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Denver Summit W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Washington Spirit W hold a 13.1-point power-rating edge (62.1 v 49.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.7% in the NWSL Women, while Washington Spirit W holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Washington Spirit W

Probability

40.7%

Model confidence

40.7%

Washington Spirit W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Washington Spirit WWLWWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Denver Summit WWDLWL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Washington Spirit WDenver Summit W
50.0Attack43.9
70.0Defence56.1
61.7Form42.1
62.1Power49.0
1.47xG0.69
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