Warrenpoint Townvs
Ards
SCHEDULEDNorthern-Ireland · Championship · 8/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Warrenpoint Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Warrenpoint Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Ards are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 43.9 against 42.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.7% in the Championship, while Warrenpoint Town holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Warrenpoint Town
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
12.7%
Warrenpoint Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.20/0.60
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00