Wanderersvs
Racing Montevideo
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 4/12/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Wanderers are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Racing Montevideo are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Racing Montevideo hold an 8.1-point power-rating edge (52.4 v 60.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.6% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60