GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Primera División · 5/24/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportivo Maldonado · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Wanderers are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Deportivo Maldonado are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Maldonado hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (52.4 v 61.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.5% in the Primera División, while Deportivo Maldonado holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportivo Maldonado

Probability

41.5%

Model confidence

41.5%

Deportivo Maldonado has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WanderersDWLWL

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Deportivo MaldonadoWWWLD

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
WanderersDeportivo Maldonado
41.7Attack55.1
58.3Defence65.2
52.8Form60.9
52.4Power61.9
0.91xG1.29
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