Wanderersvs
Cerro Largo
SCHEDULEDUruguay · Primera División · 8/15/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wanderers · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Wanderers are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Cerro Largo are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Wanderers hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (51.2 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.8% in the Primera División, while Wanderers holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Wanderers
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
17.8%
Wanderers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00