GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Primera División · 8/15/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wanderers · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Wanderers are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Cerro Largo are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Wanderers hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (51.2 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.8% in the Primera División, while Wanderers holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Wanderers

Probability

37.0%

Model confidence

17.8%

Wanderers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WanderersWLWWW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Cerro LargoDLWDD

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
WanderersCerro Largo
42.0Attack34.8
56.5Defence63.8
50.7Form42.0
51.2Power48.3
0.99xG0.82
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