GGOALVIO

Nicaragua · Primera Division · 8/3/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Walter Ferretti · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Walter Ferretti are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Matagalpa are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Walter Ferretti hold a 23.0-point power-rating edge (34.2 v 11.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.8% in the Primera Division, while Walter Ferretti holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Walter Ferretti

Probability

52.8%

Model confidence

52.8%

Walter Ferretti has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Walter FerrettiLLLDL

GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
MatagalpaLLLLW

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Walter FerrettiMatagalpa
50.0Attack8.3
25.0Defence0.0
25.0Form0.0
34.2Power11.2
2.00xG1.17
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