Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Waalwijk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Waalwijk are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Bochum II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Waalwijk hold a 12.9-point power-rating edge (36.6 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Waalwijk holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Waalwijk
Probability
36.7%
Model confidence
36.7%
Waalwijk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 8 · GA 15 · avg 1.60/3.00