Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Malisheva · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Vushtrria are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Malisheva are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Malisheva hold a 10.4-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 55.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.3% in the Superliga, while Malisheva holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Malisheva
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
14.3%
Malisheva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60