Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vukovar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Vukovar are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Velež are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Vukovar hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (71.2 v 67.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Vukovar holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vukovar
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
Vukovar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00