Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Havířov · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Vratimov are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Havířov are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Havířov hold a 22.7-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 68.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.2% in the Cup, while Havířov holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Havířov
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
Havířov has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
GF 10 · GA 15 · avg 2.00/3.00