GGOALVIO

Brazil · Copa Rio · 7/20/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Volta Redonda are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while São Gonçalo EC RJ are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and São Gonçalo EC RJ hold an 18.5-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 55.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.4% in the Copa Rio, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.4%

Model confidence

41.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Volta RedondaLDLWL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
São Gonçalo EC RJWWDLW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Volta RedondaSão Gonçalo EC RJ
16.7Attack27.8
66.7Defence77.8
16.7Form50.0
36.5Power55.0
0.70xG0.78
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