GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie C · 5/10/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Volta Redonda are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Ferroviária are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferroviária hold a 13.2-point power-rating edge (41.3 v 54.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.1% in the Serie C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

45.1%

Model confidence

45.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Volta RedondaDLWLL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
FerroviáriaWDDLL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Volta RedondaFerroviária
22.9Attack35.4
56.3Defence70.8
37.5Form50.0
41.3Power54.4
0.43xG0.88
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