Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Volna · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Volna are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Orsha are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Volna hold a 12.9-point power-rating edge (56.6 v 43.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.1% in the 1. Division, while Volna holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Volna
Probability
62.1%
Model confidence
62.1%
Volna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00