GGOALVIO

Russia · First League · 7/25/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Volga Ulyanovsk · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Volga Ulyanovsk are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while FK Neftekhimik are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Volga Ulyanovsk hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (44.4 v 35.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.8% in the First League, while Volga Ulyanovsk holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Volga Ulyanovsk

Probability

49.0%

Model confidence

13.8%

Volga Ulyanovsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Volga UlyanovskLLWDL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FK NeftekhimikWLDWD

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Volga UlyanovskFK Neftekhimik
40.0Attack16.7
46.7Defence44.4
40.0Form33.3
44.4Power35.1
1.42xG0.85
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