Volga Ulyanovskvs
FK Neftekhimik
COMPLETEDRussia · First League · 7/25/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Volga Ulyanovsk · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Volga Ulyanovsk are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while FK Neftekhimik are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Volga Ulyanovsk hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (44.4 v 35.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.8% in the First League, while Volga Ulyanovsk holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Volga Ulyanovsk
Probability
49.0%
Model confidence
13.8%
Volga Ulyanovsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40