Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ajax · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Vojvodina are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Ajax are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ajax hold a 62.1-point power-rating edge (18.3 v 80.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.4% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while Ajax holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ajax
Probability
56.4%
Model confidence
56.4%
Ajax has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00