GGOALVIO

Sweden · Division 2 - Norra Götaland · 4/3/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Motala · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Vänersborgs FK are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Motala are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Motala hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (39.8 v 47.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.7% in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland, while Motala holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Motala

Probability

43.7%

Model confidence

43.7%

Motala has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vänersborgs FKLLWDL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
MotalaWLWDW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Vänersborgs FKMotala
43.8Attack43.1
33.3Defence56.9
33.3Form39.2
39.8Power47.2
1.20xG1.62
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