Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vestri · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Völsungur are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Vestri are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Vestri hold a 10.6-point power-rating edge (31.8 v 42.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.7% in the 1. Deild, while Vestri holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vestri
Probability
46.9%
Model confidence
7.7%
Vestri has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 5 · GA 17 · avg 1.00/3.40