Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Grotta · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Völsungur are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Grotta are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Grotta hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (34.9 v 51.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.3% in the 1. Deild, while Grotta holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Grotta
Probability
56.3%
Model confidence
56.3%
Grotta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80
GF 13 · GA 13 · avg 2.60/2.60