Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Grindavik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Völsungur are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Grindavik are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Grindavik hold a 9.6-point power-rating edge (34.9 v 44.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.3% in the 1. Deild, while Grindavik holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Grindavik
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
13.3%
Grindavik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 16 · avg 2.00/3.20
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20