GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 6/10/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vélez Sársfield Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Vélez Sársfield Res. are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Tigre Res. are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Vélez Sársfield Res. hold a 29.9-point power-rating edge (70.1 v 40.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.4% in the Reserve League, while Vélez Sársfield Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vélez Sársfield Res.

Probability

57.4%

Model confidence

57.4%

Vélez Sársfield Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vélez Sársfield Res.WLWDW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Tigre Res.LLLLW

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Vélez Sársfield Res.Tigre Res.
61.1Attack27.3
79.2Defence54.5
70.8Form30.3
70.1Power40.2
1.95xG0.33
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