Vélez Sársfield Res.vs
River Plate Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 5/21/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vélez Sársfield Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Vélez Sársfield Res. are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while River Plate Res. are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Vélez Sársfield Res. hold an 11.1-point power-rating edge (70.1 v 59.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.2% in the Reserve League, while Vélez Sársfield Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vélez Sársfield Res.
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Vélez Sársfield Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20