GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 7/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vélez Sársfield Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Vélez Sársfield Res. are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Racing Club Res. are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Vélez Sársfield Res. hold a 12.9-point power-rating edge (70.1 v 57.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.6% in the Reserve League, while Vélez Sársfield Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vélez Sársfield Res.

Probability

48.6%

Model confidence

48.6%

Vélez Sársfield Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vélez Sársfield Res.WWWWL

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Racing Club Res.WWLLW

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Vélez Sársfield Res.Racing Club Res.
61.1Attack49.3
79.2Defence58.7
70.8Form56.0
70.1Power57.3
1.68xG0.64
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