Vélez Sársfield Res.vs
Newell's Old Boys Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 6/28/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vélez Sársfield Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Vélez Sársfield Res. are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Newell's Old Boys Res. are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Vélez Sársfield Res. hold an 11.1-point power-rating edge (70.1 v 59.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.1% in the Reserve League, while Vélez Sársfield Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vélez Sársfield Res.
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Vélez Sársfield Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00