Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
VJS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
VJS are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while TPV are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and VJS hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (55.4 v 41.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.1% in the Ykkönen, while VJS holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
VJS
Probability
64.1%
Model confidence
64.1%
VJS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40