Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
VJS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
VJS are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while SalPa are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and VJS hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (55.9 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.1% in the Ykkönen, while VJS holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
VJS
Probability
51.5%
Model confidence
10.1%
VJS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40