Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
11%
MediumconfidenceVJS are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while PKKU are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and power ratings are near level at 54.5 against 54.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Ykkönen, favouring a draw with 11.2% confidence, a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
25.1%
Model confidence
11.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VJSDDWLW
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
PKKUDWLDW
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
VJSPKKU
57.4Attack61.1
57.4Defence51.9
48.1Form50.0
54.5Power54.9
1.81xG1.46