Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
VJS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
VJS are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while JJK are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and VJS hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (54.5 v 50.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.1% in the Ykkönen, while VJS holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
VJS
Probability
50.8%
Model confidence
8.1%
VJS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80