GGOALVIO

Portugal · Segunda Liga · 8/9/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vizela · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Vizela are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while União de Leiria are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Vizela hold a 12.6-point power-rating edge (61.6 v 49.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.1% in the Segunda Liga, while Vizela holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vizela

Probability

50.1%

Model confidence

17.1%

Vizela has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

VizelaLLLWL

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
União de LeiriaLWLDL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
VizelaUnião de Leiria
49.0Attack43.1
70.6Defence60.8
60.8Form41.2
61.6Power49.0
1.28xG0.67
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