Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fafe · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Vizela are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Fafe are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Fafe hold a 19.9-point power-rating edge (35.6 v 55.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Fafe holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fafe
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
Fafe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00