GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 4/25/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vitória ES · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Vitória ES are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Porto BA are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Vitória ES hold a 19.2-point power-rating edge (54.0 v 34.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.3% in the Serie D, while Vitória ES holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vitória ES

Probability

65.3%

Model confidence

65.3%

Vitória ES has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vitória ESLWLLW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Porto BAWLWLW

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Vitória ESPorto BA
36.1Attack30.0
72.2Defence30.0
50.0Form33.3
54.0Power34.8
1.71xG0.43
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