Vitoriavs
Vasco DA Gama
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 7/16/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Vitoria are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Vasco DA Gama are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 42.6 against 43.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.1% in the Serie A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.1%
Model confidence
37.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20