Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vitesse · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Vitesse are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Waalwijk are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.3 against 45.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the Eerste Divisie, while Vitesse holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vitesse
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Vitesse has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40