Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Roda · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Vitesse are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Roda are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLD), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Roda hold a 52.9-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 74.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Roda holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Roda
Probability
56.6%
Model confidence
10.8%
Roda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20