GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 6/30/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Virtus · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Virtus are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Vardar Skopje are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Vardar Skopje hold an 18.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 42.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Virtus holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Virtus

Probability

45.0%

Model confidence

11.5%

Virtus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

VirtusWLWWD

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Vardar SkopjeDWWWW

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
VirtusVardar Skopje
66.7Attack26.7
0.0Defence46.7
0.0Form46.7
23.7Power42.4
1.78xG1.41
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