GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 8/5/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Virtus Entella · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

Virtus Entella are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Novara are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Virtus Entella hold a 12.4-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 52.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Virtus Entella holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Virtus Entella

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

9.8%

Virtus Entella has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Virtus EntellaLWLWD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
NovaraWWWLL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Virtus EntellaNovara
16.7Attack72.2
100.0Defence38.9
66.7Form50.0
64.8Power52.4
1.92xG1.69
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